system
A chat on subreddit /r/wallstreetbets
human
Interesting. Look. Ill be honest. Im bitter. I made no money on Tesla on the way up. And now I been too much of a pussy to make money on the way down. I can never time this fucking thing. Now Im too scared to go short because maybe its already done. You made me feel bad about being myself. But you seem like a well adjusted, kind person. Thanks for doing so much thinking.
gpt
\*NOT\* financial advice, but this is a \~$20/share stock.  The 64K question is \*WHEN\* does it happen.  

I think everyone generally agrees that '23 is NOT going to be a magic year for selling expensive "luxury" cars.  Tesla had to throw out a shit ton of incentives at year end to still miss his numbers.

In China, they rolled out \*MORE\* price cuts today.  A Model Y is now priced at $38K USD there.  In the U.S., it isn't likely that sales will be any better.  Interest rates are way up, Elon has pissed off his primary market demographic, and some of his cars \*DID NOT\* get the IRS credit as he expected.    


Even \*IF\* Elon hits his "units delivered" goals, which he won't, it surely WILL NOT be at the historically high margin.  Furthermore, they're building more factories and opened up a couple last year.  If they are now sitting on inventory, due to drop in demand, those factories are going to take a big chunk out of their numbers as well.    


My persona, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, is this thing totally shits the bed  at the end of Q2, possibly Q3.  There are so many negative events and hardly any positive catalysts that could bail they out.