A predictive failure framework for brittle porous materials via machine learning and geometric matching methods

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review


  • Alp Karakoç
  • Özgür Keleş

Research units

  • San Jose State University


Brittle porous materials are used in many applications, such as molten metal filter, battery, fuel cell, catalyst, membrane, and insulator. The porous structure of these materials causes variations in their fracture strength that is known as the mechanical reliability problem. Despite the importance of brittle porous materials, the origin of the strength variations is still unclear. The current study presents a machine learning approach to characterize the stochastic fracture of porous ceramics and glasses. A combined finite element modeling and fracture mechanics approach was used to generate a unique empirical data set consisting of normalized stress intensity factors (nSIFs, KI = Yπa) that define fracture strength of brittle systems under uniaxial tensile loading and biaxial tensile loading. These empirical data sets were used to generate prediction functions and validate their accuracy. Monte Carlo simulations with two machine learning algorithms, random forests (RF) and artificial neural networks (ANN), were used to simultaneously determine the optimum percentages for the training and test data set split and the prediction function validation. The constraint was taken to be the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) during the process. In the implementation step, new porous media with uniformly distributed pores were created and the prediction functions were used to obtain nSIFs and characterize the media. As a novelty of this approach, which ensures the predictive characterization of the generated media, a geometric matching method by means of the Euclidean bipartite matching between the empirical and the generated media was presented and the nSIFs were compared by means of MAPE. As a result of the study, MAPE ranges are 3.4–17.93% (uniaxial load) and 2.83–19.42% (biaxial load) for RF, 3.79–17.43% and 3.39–21.43 for ANN at the validation step; 3.54–18.20% (uniaxial load) and 3.06–21.60% (biaxial load) for RF, 3.57–18.26% and 3.43–21.76% for ANN at the implementation step. The proposed approach can be thus used as a predictive characterization tool, especially for the analysis and Weibull statistics of porous media subjected to brittle failure.


Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)4734-4747
Number of pages14
JournalJournal of Materials Science
Issue number11
Publication statusPublished - 1 Apr 2020
MoE publication typeA1 Journal article-refereed

ID: 40606251