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Some quick hits...



- Zack Greinke, a good, but not great pitcher, got great pitcher money from the Dodgers to the tune of 6/147M. While the Yankees West should certainly be competitive next year (if for any reason that Kemp and Kershaw are on the right side of 30), I sure hope they're committed to blowing through the luxury tax every year, because that's what it's going to take to stay competitive and continue to hand out absurd deals. Once you decide you're going to be the big spenders, the only way to stay successful is to ALWAYS be the big spender. As for the anti-Hendry deal, it's actually front-loaded with a player opt-out after 3 years and Greinke did not get a no-trade clause (other than the automatic 10/5 that would kick in for the final season). I've always wondered why teams did not do that more often, paying upfront for what are likely the better years and making the backend of the contract more affordable in case of a trade. Of course it takes two and players are probably not as keen on the idea, but this deal certainly shows that it's possible. Overall, really dumb deal for a good, but not great pitcher, but the structure may mitigate some of the risk.

- Then there was the blockbuster Royals/Rays trade. Rany Jazayerli has a take I mostly agree with essentially raking the Royals over the coals for the short-sighted deal. Baseball America has a more neutral approach quoting the infamous anonymous sources that generally grade the trade as positive for the Royals. I mostly disagree there, but it did provide for this quote from the author JJ Cooper on twitter.

Much more reason to be nuanced when you work inside game then writing from outside. Hyperbole on outside more valuable than nuance.


Much like the Cubs trade for Garza, the Royals gave up some of their best prospect talent for someone that isn't one of the best talents at his position at the major league level. On a risk/reward basis, it's undoubtedly a trade in the favor of the Rays. They stocked up the system with 4 good prospects (one elite) and considering their budgetary woes, it's what they have to do and they're very good at doing it. It's essentially a no-brainer deal for them, gain more players of what they certainly deem as equal if not better talent, for more years and less money. I's their business model and it works, even if not every asset in that portfolio turns green for them.

For the Royals, it was a big price to pay for some starting pitching they desperately needed. The risk is that it ends up like the Cubs did with Garza, a desperate trade that barely makes the team better now and just further hinders them in the future. The other risk is in believing James Shields is an ace, just waiting to leave the AL East, but hope we all learned our lesson on that after Garza.

There's obviously some upside as well, Shields and Davis (along with Ervin Santana) take the Royals rotation from worst thing ever this side of the Cubs rotation to the middle of the pack and IF all that young offensive talent explodes, the Royals will be sitting pretty. But that's placing all your bets on the upside and not factoring in any downside. It may work, but the odds aren't great. It seems the Rays made the smart move, the Royals made the riskier move and only time will tell us who "won" out.

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