I got a few waist to belly high fun ones on the log yesterday, so the forecast for here wasn't far off at all. A lot of it depends on how your local works during different tides. Just because the swell is forecast to be thigh to waist high, doesn't mean you won't get down to the beach and it be unrideable due to the tide. You might get skunked, but in a couple hours, there could be a half dozen guys out at the same spot having fun.