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Bob Fortus' Fair Grounds forecast for Saturday, Feb. 26

Published: Saturday, February 26, 2011, 9:28 AM


CHOICES: 1. Social Princess. 2. American Sulu. 3. Ante Belle.

FORTUS FORECAST: Social Princess, who had a rough trip and faded against higher-priced non-winners-of-three in her last start, should get a favorable pace scenario to set up her rally. American Sulu, taking the same drop in class, will push the pace. Ante Belle, who lacks early speed, has been racing at Delta Downs and might find the Fair Grounds to her liking.


CHOICES: 1. Scopin for Love. 2. Casino Mick. 3. Little Whiskey.

FORTUS FORECAST: Scopin for Love, who lacked stretch punch against $30,000 maidens, drops to $12,500 maiden company. Casino Mick couldn’t hold on against similar horses at Gulfstream Park in his last start. Little Whiskey, cutting back in distance and dropping in class, might rally into the picture.


CHOICES: 1. Thundering Chance. 2. Scintillation. 3. Backside Blackie.

FORTUS FORECAST: Thundering Chance, taking another step up in class after being claimed for $25,000 two starts back, has won two straight and appears competitive in this allowance group. Scintillation is a pace threat on the outside. Backside Blackie will be running late.


CHOICES: 1. Flashy Wise Cat. 2. Hud’s Rebel. 3. My Star Runner.

FORTUS FORECAST: Flashy Wise Cat, who hasn’t raced since being edged in the 5 ½-furlongs John Jackson Memorial, is more effective at six furlongs. Hud’s Rebel rallied from off a fast pace to win an allowance race four weeks ago. My Star Runner, coming off a five-furlongs stakes victory at Delta downs, has lacked stretch punch at the Fair Grounds.


CHOICES: 1. Sour. 2. Left. 3. Lumberyard Jack.

FORTUS FORECAST: Sour, who rallied past maidens when stretching out in his second start, has been working well for this allowance test. Left, the top pick’s stablemate, defeated maidens on turf in a two-turn race in his debut. Lumberyard Jack rallied past maidens at this distance in his second start.


CHOICES: 1. Tensas Punch. 2. Cat’s Production. 3. Sweet Ruston.

FORTUS FORECAST: Tensas Punch, who won a mile stakes race on dirt at Delta Downs last year, has a pedigree that suggests she’ll handle turf. Cat’s Production defeated the top pick in a seven-furlong stakes race at Delta downs three weeks ago. Sweet Ruston is a pace threat.


CHOICES: 1. Brilliantbrilliant. 2. Bond Street. 3. Some Kinda Trouble.

FORTUS FORECAST: Brilliantbrilliant, who routed $7,500 non-winners-of-three in his second start since being claimed for $5,000, is logically spotted against restricted $5,000 company. Bond Street finished second at this level in his return from a layoff. Some Kinda Trouble was third in that race.


CHOICES: 1. Forest Uproar. 2. Upperline. 3. Category Seven.

FORTUS FORECAST: Forest Uproar, who overpowered her rivals in the Marie Krantz, has won three straight. Upperline, who couldn’t hold on in an allowance race in her first start since she won the Arlington Oaks in July, will be more fit. Category Seven has run well on this course.


CHOICES: 1. Mine Train. 2. Maximus Ruler. 3. Candiano.

FORTUS FORECAST: Mine Train finished second at this level in his second start since June. Maximus Ruler, who finished second in the Lecomte last year, has been working steadily for his first start since August. Candiano couldn’t hold off the top pick for second last time.


CHOICES: 1. Loranger Native. 2. Man of Strife. 3. Tonto Too.

FORTUS FORECAST: Loranger Native, a stakes winner who is unproven on turf, might get a favorable pace scenario to set up his rally. Man of Strife, another late runner, is by a stallion whose offspring generally handle turf. Tonto Too won an allowance race switched from turf to dirt the first time he tried two turns.

Today’s best play: Forest Uproar (eighth race).

Today’s long shot special: Hud’s Rebel (fourth race).

Related topics: bob fortus, fair grounds

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