Iran, crazy like a fox: Plot for an attack in Washington has all the hallmarks of irrational Tehran

Iran Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei
Iran Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (AFP/Getty)

A mere moment or two after the Obama administration announced it had discovered a plot by Iran to murder Saudi Arabia's ambassador to the United States by bombing a Washington restaurant, the doubters started to air their doubts. Columnists and experts, even some columnists who were not experts, said the Iranians would never be so sloppy as to commit a virtual act of war in the nation's capital. The plot was crazy, they said. I agree. But so is Iran.

It's not as if the Iranian intelligence services, particularly the Quds Force of the Revolutionary Guard Corps, usually operate deftly. This is a regime that commenced what amounts to mass murder soon after it came to power. It executed its opponents but also its critics. It even went after exiled Iranians. In 1991, it murdered the former prime minister, Shapour Bakhtiar, in Paris.

Iran was blamed by Argentine prosecutors for the 1994 bombing of the Buenos Aires Jewish center that killed 85 and wounded at least 300. It has been implicated in the 1996 bombing of a housing complex in Khobar, Saudi Arabia, which killed 19 U.S. airmen and wounded an additional 372 people. It is the chief sponsor of both Hezbollah in Lebanon and Hamas in the Gaza Strip.

More recently, Iran is suspected of playing a role in the 2005 assassination of Rafiq al-Hariri, five times prime minister of Lebanon and an immensely wealthy and effective businessman. He was killed when a bomb was detonated as his car went by. This may well have been a group endeavor - Syria, Hezbollah and, in training and aid, Iran. Hariri was not only a force for stability, but he was extremely close to the Saudi royal family and maintained a home in Riyadh.

The mistake with Iran is the tendency to think its leadership is rational. This may not be the case. The country's leaders are Islamic fundamentalists who would surely kill any member of the Saudi royal family, custodians of the holy city of Mecca and fervid Sunnis all. The Iranians are just as fervid Shiites. They have many enemies, including their own people, which they oppress in the name of God and torture with abandon.

No easy answers exist to the problem of Iran. Sanctions hurt, but not so much that they have caused Tehran to abandon what looks like a nuclear weapons program. If Iran succeeds, the Saudis will want their own bomb and maybe Egypt will, too. The U.S. will have to offer its nuclear umbrella as protection. But the Saudis have lately found President Obama to be less than a steadfast friend. (The dumping of Egypt's Hosni Mubarak, which Obama supported, sickened them.) If a nuclear arms race accelerates, the Middle East then goes from merely dangerous to incredibly scary.

For years, virtually the first word out of any Israeli official's mouth has been Iran. Invariably, these Israelis are treated as either paranoid or duplicitous. Few in the West take Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's threats to exterminate Israel seriously. But Israelis have some experience with the irrational and its consequences, and do not easily dismiss threats of genocide. They look to America to do something. So far, they have looked in vain.

It would be an incalculable mistake for the Obama administration  to see the alleged Iranian bomb plot as the reckless act of some runaway intelligence chief. Instead, I refer the White House to the wisdom of Bill Haydon, the traitor in John le Carré's "Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy." Haydon recognized that intelligence services are not rogue agencies, but "the only real measure of a nation's political health, the only real expression of its subconscious." The alleged Washington bomb plot does not tell you something that's limited to Iran's Quds Force, but offers an insight into the entire Iranian regime. It's too reckless to be allowed a nuclear arsenal.


Richard Cohen's column, which appears on Tuesdays, is syndicated by the Washington Post Writers Group. Cohen joined The Post as a reporter in 1968 and covered everything from police, city hall, education, state government and national politics. In 1976, he began writing a column for the paper's Metro section. His column became nationally syndicated in 1981 and has appeared on the op-ed page of The Post since 1984.

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