Forecast updates


Economy | Forecast | Policy trends |August 5th 2020

Algeria hopes Islamic banking will improve liquidity

The current economic crisis is leading to a tightening of banking liquidity, but the government's response will be slow.
Economy | Forecast | Exchange rates |August 4th 2020

Algerian dinar crosses key threshold against the euro

The currency will stay weak amid rapidly diminishing foreign reserves and poor economic prospects.
Economy | Forecast | Economic growth |July 31st 2020

Algeria faces renewed pandemic restrictions

The government is imposing stricter restrictions in key cities as the number of coronavirus cases remains high.
Economy | Forecast | Economic growth |July 29th 2020

Algeria's economy contracts sharply in first quarter

A collapse in oil prices, pandemic restrictions and ongoing uncertainty over the economy will push GDP down sharply.
Economy | Forecast | Policy trends |July 22nd 2020

Algerian government sets out economic plans

The government lacks the capacity and financial means to allow for a swift opening of the business sector.
Economy | Forecast | Policy trends |July 15th 2020

Algeria's president orders investigation into state oil firm

The government is seeking to rationalise the state oil firm and to lay blame for past mistakes.
Economy | Forecast | International assumptions |July 14th 2020

OPEC+ faces big decisions in July meeting

The bloc may have to accept slightly lower oil prices in the near term in the interest of preserving market share.
Economy | Forecast | Economic growth |July 6th 2020

Algeria's daily coronavirus cases hit record high

The government is caught between trying to contain the spread of the disease and trying to limit the economic damage.
Economy | Forecast | Inflation |July 2nd 2020

Downward trend in inflation is likely to end soon

The weakening currency and fiscal monetisation are likely to cause an uptick in prices, despite the slump in demand.
Economy | Forecast | Economic growth |June 25th 2020

Solar project relaunched

Government attempts to revive solar development are likely to prove overambitious given funding and policy constraints.