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Bob Fortus' Fair Grounds forecast for Thursday, Feb. 10

Published: Thursday, February 10, 2011, 8:54 AM

Fortus forecast for Thursday


CHOICES: 1. Daddy Forty Nine. 2. Future Direction. 3. Saratoga Vicar.

FORTUS FORECAST: Daddy Forty Nine, who routed restricted $5,000 claimers in his first start since being claimed for that price, faces unrestricted $5,000 claimers. Future Direction faded against $7,500 claimers 25 days ago. Saratoga Vicar won the last time he raced at this level.


CHOICES: 1. Daisy Again. 2. Rainin Sideways. 3. Empty Pages.

FORTUS FORECAST: Daisy Again, facing claimers for the first time, is as good a pick as any in a wide-open competition. Rainin Sideways finished in the money on turf at this level in his last two races. Empty Pages was fourth at this level in his last two starts.


CHOICES: 1. Mission Queen. 2. Shimmering Port. 3. Hunt for Candie.

FORTUS FORECAST: Mission Queen, who was outrun in Louisiana-bred allowance races at Delta Downs in her last two starts, is back with claimers and might get a favorable pace scenario to set up her rally. Shimmering Port, dropping in claiming price and returning to Louisiana-bred company, is a pace threat. Hunt for Candie, who couldn’t hold on in open company against $7,500 non-winners-of-two in her last start, will push the pace.


CHOICES: 1. Sensational Love. 2. Ocean Surge. 3. Wildcat Aly.

FORTUS FORECAST: Sensational Love takes a positive step up in class after rallying past optional claiming/starter rivals at this distance on turf in her return from a layoff. Ocean Surge, who showed little against tougher runners in a sprint switched from turf to dirt a month ago, is well placed against $30,000 claimers. Wildcat Aly led all the way in a sprint on dirt against allowance rivals in her first start since being claimed for $25,000.


CHOICES: 1. Ouragans Icon. 2. Im a Salty Belfast. 3. Gate Zapper.

FORTUS FORECAST: Ouragans Icon, who finished second against similar runners in her last two races, might prevail in a wide-open race. Im a Salty Belfast finished close behind the top pick last time. Gate Zapper was outrun in tougher company on turf in her last two races.


CHOICES: 1. Wyn Jym. 2. Hanover Road. 3. Tap N Away.

FORTUS FORECAST: Wyn Jym, tumbling in class, might prevail in a shaky group of $12,500 maidens. Hanover Road finished third at this level in her last two races. Tap N Away drops to claiming company in her second start.


CHOICES: 1. Conscions Contact. 2. Rileys Monarch. 3. Beverly Belle.

FORTUS FORECAST: Conscions Contact, who hasn’t raced since finishing second at this level on New Year’s Day in a race switched from turf to dirt, can handle either surface. Rileys Monarch, who was fourth in that race, is better suited to turf. Beverly Belle, who hasn’t raced since March, has been working well.


CHOICES: 1. Jim N Peg’s Gal. 2. Gonna. 3. Falda.

FORTUS FORECAST: Jim N Peg’s Gal, taking a sharp drop in class, might prevail in a shaky group. Gonna finished third against similar runners and was claimed 24 days ago. Falda was fourth in that race.


CHOICES: 1. Kiss a Rock Star. 2. Falsely Accused. 3. August High.

FORTUS FORECAST: Kiss a Rock Star, who finished fourth in open company against $15,000 maidens in her first two-turn race, faces Louisiana-bred $15,000 maidens. Falsely Accused, who might not have appreciated a sloppy track in her last start, might improve with blinkers. August High had traffic trouble in her first two-turn race.

Today’s best play: Sensational Love (fourth race).

Today’s long shot special: Daisy Again (second race).

Bob Fortus’ record for Monday: 10-3-0-3-.300.

Bob Fortus’ meet record: 524-156-84-72-.298.

Statistics are win, place and show finishes for top picks.

Related topics: bob fortus, fair grounds

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