Analysis: Human Civilization Could Collapse by 2050

Analysis: Human Civilization Could Collapse by 2050


According to the analysis, which was published by the Breakthrough National Centre for Climate Restoration, a think-tank based in Melbourne, Australia, climate change is “a current and existential national security risk” that “threatens the premature extinction of Earth-originating intelligent life or the permanent and drastic destruction of its potential for desirable future development.”

We’re “on a path to the end of human civilisation and modern society as we know it.” The study calls climate change “a near-to-mid-term existential threat to human civilization.”

The analysis that human systems might reach a “point of no return” by 2050, where “the prospect of a largely uninhabitable Earth leads to the breakdown of nations and international order.”

The paper concludes the solution is a “society-wide, emergency mobilisation of labour and resources” that would be “akin in scale to the World War II emergency mobilization.”

A “Marshall Plan-style construction of zero-carbon-dioxide energy supply and major electrification to build zero-carbon industrial strategy” is the solution, the analysis reads, which could limit global warming to just 1.5 degrees Celsius. Previous reports warn about a 3 degrees Celsius change.


If climate change is not stymied, one billion people could be forced to flee unlivable conditions, with two billion facing scarcity of water supplies. The sub-tropics would endure an agricultural collapse and food production would suffer dramatically worldwide.