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By threatening to end Turkey's EU bid, the German chancellor just signaled to members of her constituency that they're politically expendable.
The far right Alternative for Germany (AfD) is the big winner of the elections. But that is the only really clear lesson so far. Why the AfD has won and, more directly related, at whose expense, will remain unclear until more detailed individual-level voter studies become available.
Sometimes local events can tell you quite a lot about national politics. That's why current events in the German state of Thuringia, located in the former East Germany, should get our attention.