@article {32341, title = {China{\textquoteright}s Non-CO2 Greenhouse Gas Emissions: Future Trajectories and Mitigation Options and Potential}, journal = {Scientific Reports}, volume = {9}, year = {2019}, month = {Jan-12-2019}, abstract = {

Forecasts indicate that China{\textquoteright}s non-carbon dioxide (CO2) greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions will increase rapidly from the 2014 baseline of 2 billion metric tons of CO2\ equivalent (CO2e). Previous studies of the potential for mitigating non-CO2\ GHG emissions in China have focused on timeframes through only 2030, or only on certain sectors or gases. This study uses a novel bottom-up end-use model to estimate mitigation of China{\textquoteright}s non-CO2\ GHGs under a Mitigation Scenario whereby today{\textquoteright}s cost-effective and technologically feasible CO2\ and non-CO2\ mitigation measures are deployed through 2050. The study determines that future non-CO2\ GHG emissions are driven largely by industrial and agricultural sources and that China could reduce those emissions by 47\% by 2050 while enabling total GHG emissions to peak by 2023. Except for F-gas mitigation, few national or sectoral policies have focused on reducing non-CO2\ GHGs. Policy, market, and other institutional support are needed to realize the cost-effective mitigation potentials identified in this study.

}, doi = {10.1038/s41598-019-52653-0}, author = {Jiang Lin and Khanna, Nina and Xu Liu and Teng, Fei and Wang, Xin} }