Method of multistage military conflict decision-making in uncertainty environments
Combining decision and game theory,this paper studies on the model of multistage military conflict decision-making and its solving method in uncertainty environments based on hypergames.The full domain scenario set can be established through the integration of sub-scenario sets reflected enemy's beliefs in every stage.The decision maker can get the synthetic equilibrium strategies of other players on the basis of the full domain scenario set.Finally,one may determine the full game scenario through the integration of full domain scenarios and the feasible strategy of her own with risk assessment.Case study shows the proposed method can deal with uncertainty effectively.Noted that the feasible strategy is no worse than the synthetic equilibrium strategy and can be exactly better than that.