Study of Forecasting Methods of Construction Land Demand:With Dongping County,Shangdong Prvoince as an Example
As traditional forecasting methods could not take into account the influence of market economy and policy on construction land demand,this paper compares the forecast of construction land demand with the predicted results derived from the unitary linear regression model,gray system GM(1,1) applying comprehensive analysis method and taking Dongping County as an example,thus evaluating the reliability and accuracy of comprehensive analysis method.It is predicted based on comprehensive analysis method that construction land demand in 2010 is 16 342.36 hmz and 17 620.79 hm2 in 2020.Research result is valuable for land use planning of Dongping Country.Comprehensive analysis method is a scientific forecasting method of construction land demand and has great referential significance in the prediction of construction land demand.