section_path: Impact/Estimations of losses
section_name: Estimations of losses
paragraph_text: Estimations of losses
  
  The USGS Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) service estimated a 40% probability of economic losses exceeding US$100 billion and a 35% probability of economic losses between US$10 billion and US$100 billion; upper estimates of economic losses exceed Myanmar's GDP of $64.2 billion. The service also estimated a 44% probability of deaths exceeding 100,000 and a 34% probability of deaths between 10,000 and 100,000. The Thai Hotels Association said that it expected international tourist arrivals to decrease by at least 10–15% in the two weeks following the earthquake, adding that 10% of foreign tourists had checked out following the earthquake. Tourism minister Sorawong Thienthong noted that there had been over 1,000 hotel room bookings in the two days following the earthquake, while there was a shift in destination preferences from Bangkok to other places such as Pattaya.