text: exporLs from the develoFing countrles nill remain unchangedi the lncrease inprivate lending outstanding to developing countries ia assumed to remaln constantat its 1984 real leveli and real exchange rates among najor currencies are assumed to be unchanged over the scenario period. The IMF projections are for the non-oil exporting developinq countr ies on1y,A/40 /s].g English Paqe 70 IV. PROJECTIONS TO TIIE YEAR 2OOO A. Introduccion 139. The prevlous section revieered elements of a consensu€ nedlum-term worlal6utlook from the period 1985 to 1990. Ttre present sectlon assesses longer-terir development po6sibllities, overlapping the medium-term outlook, from the present through the end of the tHentieth century. (The projections sholrn for the perlod 1986-1990 differ slightly from those 6hown in Eection III on account of dlffering econometric models used in the e:.ercise. The present aEsessment la based, in part, on versions of the LINK and Fugi models that have expanded country coverage, durlngthe past ttrto years, especially among the developing regiona, and on a vergion ofthe Grobal Economic l'lodel (cEu) of the Deparbment of rnternatlonal Economlc. andsocial Affairs rrith inproved lnEernational trade linkages. It is also based inpaft, on a preliminary version of the Departmentrs United Natlons t{orltl t4ode} (Ut[${) rirhich provldes a new long-term counterpait to the GEM nodel erphsBizingavailabillties of invegtment and other flnancial floss in comparison to the corresponding requiremenes orlentation of GEM.)
analysis: The text appears to be discussing long-term economic projections and scenarios for developing countries, including assumptions about private lending, real exchange rates, and economic models. The language used is technical and focused on economic concepts, suggesting that the text is related to economic development and international trade.