text: trends, and comparing lhem with the Lagos Plan for Actlon for the lRPlementation of the l,lonrovia Strategy for the lbonomic Development of Africa (A/S-LL/L4 ' annex I) and the recently emerging consensus on tbe actions most urgenely reguired of the African nations and the international communlty. The comparison till shoe, r,hy the continuation of the historical trends is clearl-y unacceptable and rdhy a nevt development strategy for Africa may be required. 1. Proiections of historical trends 356. To illustrace the range of development and grol'th possibillEies for the worldrs major country groups in lhe period 1985-1995, the glorld Bank has prepared tvro scenarios, a lord-growth and a high-growth one. The low-growth scenario is based on the assumption tbat the developed countries do not succeed in imProving their performance of the past decade, so tbaE their GDP continues to grow at a yearLy rate of only 2.5 per cent during the Period 1985-1995. By conerast, the biqh-qrovrth scenario ""=u.." that lhe GOp of developed countrles gro!,s at a rate of 4.5 per cenr per year as in the l95os anal 1960s. under the high-growth scenarlo' unemployment and protectionist pressures in developed countries are assumed to subside. so that lhe exports of developing countties can expand more rapidly and their debC burden can be eased. Under both scenarios, development assistance is assumed to remain at historical levels. The World Bank projections under the two scenarios are shown in table 65 beloi,f.A/ 40 /5re Eng1i sh Page l8l Table 65. crowth of GDP per capita' lou- and hlgh-growth scenarios, 198 5- 199 s (Average annual percentage change) Country group High Developing countr ies Ipr{ income Asi a Af r ica Middle-income oiI Major exporters Other s Oil expor ters fndustrial countriesinpor ter sof manu factures5-U -0.5 3.3 1.0 7.0 2.03.5 3.4 4.7 3.6 4.4 L.5 3.7
analysis: The text appears to be discussing economic development in Africa, specifically the prospects for economic growth and the comparison of different scenarios. The mention of the Lagos Plan, the Lonrovia Strategy, and the World Bank's projections suggests that the text is focused on economic development and international cooperation.