text: HO l!HO IJo- E-rE (,| Or. (!c rra l\ .,Yoo6O or!'.r E4ttorJqo it (u o4lqq oo d.! tu .!^/ 40/5L9 Engll sh Page 15 25. The slmulatlon e'terclse reveala that the impact of a compoEite policy scenarlo is usually stronger than the aun of the effects of indivldual policy oeaaures that constitute that scenario. A(IPng the cooposite scenarlos aioulated, the most promising appears to be the one that incorporates the followlng elenents3 lncreased transfer of technology and oanponer develoPment, trade llberallzatlon in oEcD countries, achievernent of the 0.7 per cent ODA/GNP target by 1990, Oobllizatlon of reEoures for investment and success in debt renegotiatlon8 incluating lovrering of interest rat€s. ThiE compoglte scenario $ould raise the GDP gro$ttr rates of developing countries by 1.9 percentage Polnts per year in the period 1985-1990 comPared eith tbe baseline projectlons, while lncreaaing the correspondlng GDP growth rates of developed countries by 0.3 percentage polnts' t{hen the atlditional I.9 Percentage Pointa GDP gro{th ia combloed with the baseline proJection, the annual GDP gro$th rate of the developtnq countrles during the period 1995-1990 would be raised to 6.2 per cent for the period in question. Thls soulal be no nediocre achieveoent, but the task of inpleoentinq technoloqi'cal transfers and a magglve mobllization of reaources for investment i6 glgantic in that it requlreE a further increase ln domestic savlngg rates in developing countries antt oasslve infusions of external capltal both offici€l anal Private. 3. Proiectlona to the Year 2000 26. In assessing longer-term developnent possibilitles, to the end of the centuEy, the focus is on tno key questions. First, i3 the long-tern outlook sufflciently robust to allow for reasonable development performance even in the presence of recurrlng crisea llke those that have arlsen from the early 1970s to the present
analysis: The text appears to be discussing economic development and international cooperation, specifically the impact of a composite policy scenario on the GDP growth rates of developing and developed countries. It also touches on the need for technological transfers, resource mobilization, and debt renegotiation. The focus on long-term development possibilities and the assessment of the robustness of the outlook suggests that the text is more concerned with economic development and international cooperation than with other categories.