text: uranirjn reserves of the qon-cominunist world are in South Africa and NaJaibia, lossof contTof of Nanibiars resources vould significantly reduce (by 33 per cent) South Africa's share of the potential market and any associated leverage. But thispoint shou]d not be overdral"rn j as the earlier analysis also reveal-ed.n for uranir.u importers such as Japan, the Federal Repuhlic of Gefllany, and to a lesser degree France, ureniun frora mines in South Africa proper 1,'i11 continue ihroughout the 1980sto be a si.gnificant percentage of their total uranium requirements. That d.epend.ency, in turn, may affect their readiness to oppose South Africats domestic and regional policies. 39, South Africars pfans to becone a supplier of nuclear fuel in bhe 19BOs have 72f (e-t'u-ert:ka" and Rogers, l uclear Axis, p. 84; Anti-Apartheid Movement, Answer to a Denial of the Government of the Federal ReDublic of Militarv-ltruc1ear Collaborat ion betveen the Federal South qI'ica, Bonn, December L979. ?3/ Gillette, "Uranirrm Enrichment ", p, LO92. 74l See, e.9,, Robert E. Ilarliayy, Spectre of a l{id.d-l.e Eastern Holocaust: The Strategic and Diplonatic Inplications of the Israeli Nuclear ltreapons Progra.n, l{onograph Series in World Affairs, University of Denver, Graduat e School of International Studies " n. 78.ofAl 35/L+oz English Annex Page 2C been nodified r,rith its recent decision not to construct a conmerciaf size enrichment facility but onfy to expand the pilot plant to supply its ornm d'omestic requirements ' er' ?..nrT2st- tr..nsfe? in the future by South Africa of uranir.:n enrichment technology!J vvuw+euvt to another cormtry cannot be precluded, and, d'epending on the specifics of such a sale - e"g., whether with or without safeguards and the degree of South African concern about the potential end use of its technology by the buyel - the adverse non-prol-iferat ion impact of such transfers could be high' The readiness of the
analysis: The text primarily discusses the potential impact of losing control over uranium resources on South Africa's economy and its international relations. It also touches on the country's plans to become a supplier of nuclear fuel and the potential transfer of uranium enrichment technology to other countries.