$Nio is projected to perform approximately 46 million battery swaps in 2025

Data Overview:

April 2024: Nio provided 1,973,376 battery swaps, averaging 65,779 swaps per day. 

October 2024: The company conducted 2,447,325 swaps, averaging 78,946 per day. 

November 2024: Nio provided 2,318,053 swaps, averaging 77,268 per day. 

December 31, 2024: Nio reached a cumulative total of approximately 61.53 million battery swaps. 

January 23, 2025: Nio achieved a record 103,919 swaps in a single day. 

Growth Analysis:

From April 2024 to January 2025, the average daily swaps increased from approximately 65,779 to over 100,000. This represents a growth of about 52.1% over approximately 9 months.

Extrapolation:

Assuming a consistent growth rate, we can project the number of battery swaps for the next year. If Nio continues to experience a similar growth trajectory, the average daily swaps could increase by approximately 52.1% over the next 9 months.

Projected Annual Swaps:

Current Daily Average: 100,000 swaps

Projected Daily Average in 9 Months: 100,000 * 1.521 ≈ 152,100 swaps

Average Daily Swaps Over the Year: (100,000 + 152,100) / 2 ≈ 126,050 swaps

Annual Projection: 126,050 swaps/day * 365 days ≈ 46 million swaps

Conclusion:

Based on the observed growth rate over the past 12 months, Nio is projected to perform approximately 46 million battery swaps in the upcoming year. This estimate assumes that the current growth trend continues without significant acceleration or deceleration.
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