1/21 Play #2 | #NBAX  

🔔 Tyrese Maxey U 10.5 RA
#Bet365 -115

Running this back because I’m not scared ♻️

I will say, the matchup isn’t great for the under against Denver. However, the potentials are what’s more important ⬇️

Embiid remains OUT. You may think this helps Maxey but it in fact does the exact opposite. Without Embiid this season, Maxey is under this line in 20/24 games averaging 9.3 RA. Overall on the season, Maxey is under this line in 27/34 games

In addition, Paul George is questionable. George has missed the last 2 games, so there is a good chance of him missing tomorrow’s game as well. Losing another scoring option like George further hurts Maxey’s passing 

This season, Maxey has seen 29% of his assists go to one of either George or Embiid. In games with both of them out, Maxey is fully inclined to shoot. In 12 games without both, he averages 24.2 FGA with 3 games of 30+ FGA

In those 12 games, Maxey averages 10.4 potential assists and 6.7 rebound chances. In order to go over this line, Maxey would have to convert on 64.3% of his potential RA. A 9% difference compared to his regular RA conversion rate of 55%

In games with 11 or less rebound chances, he is under this line in 24/29 games. With 16 or less potential assists, he’s under in 26/31 games. Regardless of injuries, this line is too high

📊 CHART ⬇️ @propsmadness
Maxey w/o Embiid

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