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"Most egregious of all," Joel comments, "the NRDC report was authored by prominent university and government climate and public health scientists." These seemingly non-political researchers (Joel names names) lent "the color of their scientific credentials and government and university affiliations" to NRDC's effort to mislead the public.
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A year later he co-authored another Greenpeace publication titled New Zealand Energy Revolution: How to Prevent Climate Chaos. It features a foreword by (and photograph of) Pachauri.
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That's what Robert Samuelson, noted economic journalist and Newsweek Pundit, called global warming in the July 9 Washington Post. In an article that looked an awful lot like an op-ed the post printed two weeks earlier. Samuelson did what we've been doing at WCR for years now: He led with the science, scored with a barrage of uncertaintles, and got a TKO with the political improbability of large reductions in greenhouse emission.
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(He also noted) that U.S. floods have not increased in frequency or intensitysince 1950 and economic losses from floods have dropped by 75 percent as a percentage of GDP since 1940. Tornado frequency, intensity, and normalized damages have also not increased since 1950, and Pielke even notes that there is some evidence that this has declined.
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Little Ice Age May Return Soon, Russian Scientists Say
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Bryan Walsh: Why West Nile Virus Is a Self-Inflicted Wound
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Climate warming continues, but its taking a break. The reasons for that, among others, are the temporary weak solar irradiance and phenomena such as La Nia.
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In addition to the Russian crew of 22, the expedition team consists of 18 professional scientists from Australia and New Zealand, and 22 volunteer science assistants. They are members of the public, ranging in age from their 20s to their 70s. They paid to join the scientific adventure
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The results of this study clearly show, contrary to the predictions of some - such as Butzer (1980), for example - that a northward migration of climatic zones in central North America does not appear to be occurring. The authors say that "this suggests a lack of evidence for any systematic wintertime warming in the central United States that might be anticipated under a global-warming scenario." They also note that the same holds true for the summer-sensitive Dfa/Dfb climate boundary (where Dfa climates have distinctly warmer summers than Dfb climates), as demonstrated by Mitchell and Kienholz (1997) in a similar study based on July mean temperatures in the north-central and northeastern United States. These studies thus make an even stronger case than we make for the non-existence of global warming, as we only claim it has not warmed since 1930 (see our Editorial of 1 July 2000 ). References
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What will be interesting to see, is what political bribes will be distributed under the table this time. In Copenhagen, the Danes, desperate to fulfil their mission as hosts, during the meeting broke of with Dalai Lama, to appease the Chinese. Will the Mexicans round up the usual suspects in the drug cartels, or increase control over the northern border, to make the US happy? And what will the Chinese do, in order to make sure everyone is happy with their common denominators? May I humbly suggest releasing some dissidents and improving civil liberties.
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Sadly, Emerson embarrasses himself and will once day blush at his timidity by still hiding behind this deceitful evasion:
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Tonight on the Senate floor, Senator Inhofe urged his colleagues to join him in the effort to stop President Obama's war on fossil fuels and affordable energy. In the next two weeks, the Senate will vote on a resolution by Senator Inhofe that requires a simple majority of those voting and present; this resolution would overturn the Obama EPA's Utility MACT rule, which is specifically designed to shut down coal plants across the country. It would send EPA back to the drawing board to craft a rule that balances environmental protection and economic growth, instead of killing coal in American electricity generation.
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Global Warming Scandal Makes Scientific Progress More Difficult, Experts Say
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Obama's Words on Carbon Dioxide, Drilling Contradict His Actions
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However, John Cook, the cartoonist turned warming fanatic who runs the misleadingly-named Skeptical Science website, has just posted a piece by his still more fanatical sidekick, Dana Nuccitelli, attacking Roy Spencers recent verbatim interview with the Catholic Online website .
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For those new to this discussion, the Earth is said to have an Energy Budget . Trenberth et al. (2009) Earths Global Energy Budget provided a reasonably easy-to-understand discussion of the factors that impact that budget at the top of the atmosphere. My Figure 1 is Figure 1 from Trenberth et al. (2009). Focus your attention on the values of the three components at the top of the atmosphere. Those factors balance. That is, the energy from the sun (incoming solar radiation, a.k.a. Incident Shortwave Radiation) is equal to the sum of the sunlight reflected back to space (reflected solar radiation, a.k.a. Outgoing Shortwave Radiation) and the infrared radiation the Earth emits to space (Outgoing Longwave Radiation). The hypothesis of human-induced global warming says that manmade greenhouse gases cause an imbalance in that budget.
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Nor has the looting been restricted to property and purse. Some have seized the chance to blame climate change and push the alarmist agenda. They are what might aptly be described as climate looters. To their credit, the majority of proponents of global warming have not attempted to claim the floods as due to human induced climate change. However, for a few it seems the temptation was too great to resist and, as might now be expected, the media have afforded them prominent coverage. Also not unexpectedly, the ABC has been prominent in propagating this blatant alarmist opportunism.
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Silly me, I thought the point of worrying about sea level rise was the concern about sea-rising compared to the beaches, what??s the point of building a levee to keep out the water if the beaches are rising as well?
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Soylent Green Jr has linked to an article at Grist with news that seem rather incredible.
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There are no good ways to die, but death by the West Nile virus is worse than most. The tropical disease begins in birds, which pass it on to mosquitoes that then go on to infect human beings with a bite. Most people who contract West Nile dont experience any symptoms at all, but about 1 in 5 suffer fever, headaches and body aches, usually lasting a week or so. A far less lucky 1 in 150 experience high fever, tremors, convulsions, paralysis and coma. Some especially the immunocompromised and the elderly die.
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This reversal of attitude in climate change policies is already evident in the response to the President's newly announced pact with China to reduce carbon dioxide emissions and his promised $3 billion contribution to a UN climate fund designed to help poor counties deal with potential impacts of climate change.
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The wind production tax credit has expired and should not be renewed retroactively. The credit was worth 2.3 cents per kilowatt hour and generally applies for 10 years. The credit should be ended because energy produced by windmills is more expensive than energy generated by natural gas, and so using wind energy raises people's utility bills. The Energy Department calculates that energy produced by wind is 30% more expensive than energy produced by a natural gas plant.
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The FOIA request was not entirely complied with, and CEI just filed an appeal over documents still being withheld. In addition to withholding many internal communications, the administration is withholding communications with these lobbyists and other related communications, claiming they constitute "inter-agency memoranda." This implies that, according to the DoE, wind industry lobbyists and Soros's Center for American Progress are for legal purposes extensions of the government.
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Their citation here is a bit wonky, as the citation seems to be to our E&E article, whereas the topic was discussed in our GRL article and our Reply to Huybers (not cited here, although perhaps intended in McIntyre and McKitrick 2005c, not listed in the references). In our article, we tried to show that spurious RE statistics could be expected to arise under Mannian methods, adding these example to the traditional ones. However, these red noise examples were not intended as a universal inventory of all possible situations merely an example and a highly pertinent example.
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It is not necessary to enter into intense and technical debate over economic methodology to get to the heart of what is problematic about Waxman-Markey. The EPA's latest analysis of the bill offers a range of estimates similar to the CBO's. The EPA offers multiple scenarios of how Waxman-Markey might play out because the agency acknowledges that "uncertainties could significantly affect results"; depending on which scenario one selects, the cost in 2020 will be between $84 and $105 per household per year, but rising to as much as $1,000 per household by 2050. Here is a puzzle: when the EPA scored the Lieberman-Warner cap-and-trade billwhich also sought an 80 percent reduction in GHG emissions by 2050last year, the agency reported much higher estimates for what on the surface looks identical to Waxman-Markey.
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Arctic sea ice is disappearing in summer much faster than scientists expected. That?s not just evidence of climate change; the ice itself is changing the climate, and it may be affecting weather as far away as Utah.
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NASA used to be an international symbol of American strength and know-how. Instead, Obama has turned it into a national joke and after Thursday's rocket failure, a national embarrassment.
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The record provides evidence for substantial warmth during Roman and Medieval times, larger in extent and longer in duration than 20th century warmth.
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Climate Change and Public Policy: European and American Approaches to Kyoto
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I wouldnt write off solar variability as a cause yet Roy. Judy Curry and Peter Webster both say you were right to model the ocean down to 1000m despite what Pierrehumbert said. This means extra solar energy gets stored in the ocean on a multi-decadal timescale, because the energy stratifies in layers and cant escape upwards while the sun is more than averagely active. The sunspot number has on average risen since the little ice age.
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It is not a crime to disagree with the administration or any member of your local, state or federal government. However, a group of state attorneys general, calling themselves "AGs United for Clean Power," has made it its mission to silence debate on a critical issue of the day by violating the free speech rights of CEI and more than 100 other organizations and private individuals.
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How does this affect you? All Americans should be able to advocate in support of causes they believe in. Regardless of your position on climate change, this assault on free speech is profoundly unjust. Worse, a dangerous precedent is being set. The message from these lawless government officials is: if you disagree with the government's agenda, they can use their authority to silence you. So if the actions of this coalition of attorneys general stand, whether the issue is vaccines, GMOs, stem cell research, or any politically-charged topic, you could find a government official coming after you as well.
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The great problem with climate change is that it no longer seems like a scientific theory, but more like a 21 st century version of the pre-Reformation Catholic Church, complete with evangelists, tithes, indulgences and bizarre superstitions.
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Its time to reject dishonest feel-good campaigns for ethanol like this:
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1973 Shock News : Columbia University Warned That We Were Going To Freeze To Death
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USPS puts significant blame on shift to online communication for $8.5 billion loss:
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Chu claims that there is a 50% probability "of disastrous social, economic and political risks" in a few decades. The catastrophe is supposed to be caused by the greenhouse effect that will heat the planet up by 5 C.
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We were not told that taking a single month (or even a decade) out of context is not how grown-up scientists evaluate temperature trends; nor that the NCDC temperature record has been repeatedly tampered with so as to suppress warming in the early 20 th century and enhance it over recent decades. The effect is artificially to bump up the otherwise negligible warming rate by more than the puny March 2015 record temperature:
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Yes, the technologies behind the shuttle program are outdated, and yes, it has cost us money, some $200 billion over the last four decades. Still, Atlantis' last flight is a sad day for those who believe in America's greatness and a happy day for those who welcome America's decline.
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Trends are included in the graphs. Besides that what do the graphs show? Well to me they show that setting the regpar value, or truncated total least squares truncation parameter (regpar) to a value greater than 1 results in a flat or negative trend which is more consistent with John Christys work. With only 3 pcs for an entire continent as in the first 3 graphs and allowing the regpar to be a value other than 1 doesnt hurt the overall appearance but the trend is lost. The same thing happens with 4 pcs or even 10 pcs. A regpar value of 1 makes it work.
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SIMON SANTOW (ABC World Today): Sixty per cent of the 235 catchments are rated poor to moderate most are declining. ( source )
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That new data will be considered in the IPCCs next assessment report regarded by governments and scientific groups as the worlds pre-eminent scientific document on climate change and should lead to an increase in predictions of sea-level rises, Professor van Ypersele said.
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Yet none of this unsettles the rush to kill debate. The Los Angeles Times has even announced that it will no longer print letters to the editor questioning man-made global warming. Had the Times been printing before Columbus, perhaps it would have banned letters saying the Earth was round.
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So if you use I.E. you are running wide open, and will be for a while Oh, and the fix is something suited for the Tech Savy to do but they wont be running I.E. anyway, IMHO.
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K = 3 corresponds to an OPTIONS.neigs value of 3. This means they want to define the temperatures of an entire continent by linear combinations of only 3 trends. You have to wonder why only 3. As far as I know, there are no references in the paper, SI or anywhere I could find to the actual value of OPTIONS.regpar.
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Looking at this from a wider angle, Senators might ponder what would have happened if Reps. Waxman and Markey, instead of introducing a cap-and-trade bill, had introduced legislation authorizing the EPA to do exactly what it is doing now regulate greenhouse gases through the Clean Air Act as it sees fit.Such abill almost certainly would have been dead on arrival. Under the leadership of Lisa Jackson and Gina McCarthy, the EPA has morphed into a Super Legislature, enactingclimate and fuel economy policiesCongress has not approved and would reject if introduced as legislation and put to a vote.The Senate cannot confirm McCarthy as EPA Administratorwithout rewarding the agencys regulatory overreach.
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An impact on an ice sheet does seem reasonable as the evidence from the ongoing investigation points at the impact occurring somewhere in north-central North America near what is now the Great Lakes. Unfortunately, there is no crater evident and the projected impact should have left some imprint on the earth, even if it was a cluster of meteorites or an airburst. Lets take the researchers at their word and look where the evidence points-the Great Lakes.
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Climate Change Doubt Is Tea Party Article of Faith:
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Here Sam provides a one page discussion by Christopher Monckton on the games that people play with climate numbers.
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Now, I feel the urge to mention that the cloud cover may vary because of nearly unpredictable complex phenomena in the atmosphere; and because of controllable external effects such as cosmic rays. Both of these categories of effects have to be studied carefully if we want to understand the changes in the energy flows and temperatures.
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To obtain a PSD permit,firms mustdocument their compliance withbest available control technology (BACT) standards.Even apart fromany technology investments needed to comply with BACT, the PSD permitting process is costly and time-consuming. In 2007, each permit on average cost $125,120 and 866 burden hours for a source to obtain, and $23,280 and 301 hours for EPA or a state agency to process, EPAestimates .No smallbusiness could operate subject to the PSD administrative burden.
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The False Allure of Group Selection , Pinker explains in quite some detail why he has a problem with the very concept and philosophy of group selection.
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3. We have shown that surface air water vapor changes over time must be accounted for in the assessment of long term surface air temperature trends ( see Pielke Sr., R.A., C. Davey, and J. Morgan, 2004: Assessing global warming with surface heat content and Davey,
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The ultimate conclusion of this study is that rising temperatures and elevated CO2 will be beneficial for dwarf bamboo that the pandas feed upon, as it will lead to the production of more equally-nutritious dwarf bamboo tissue?? Read More
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Graeme Pearman and Eigil Friis-Christensen, Mittagong, April 5, 2008
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As discussed, EPA considers emissions increases due to increased operation that could not be physically or legally accommodated during the representative baseline period but for the proposed physical or operational change, to result from the change.22
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The two researchers report that the various correlations they observed over the course of the Holocene "suggest that the Holocene low-latitude precipitation variability to some degree was influenced by changes in the geomagnetic dipole moment." In particular, they say that the general increase in precipitation observed over the past 1500 years in both speleothem records "cannot be readily explained by changes in summer insolation or solar activity," but that it "correlates very well with the rapid decrease in dipole moment observed during this period," which relationship is explained by the fact that "a higher dipole moment leads to a lower cosmic ray flux, resulting in reduced cloud coverage and, ultimately, lower precipitation." What it means
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Catarina Ostlund, a spokeswoman for the Swedish Environmental Protection Agency, said officials have come concerns about importing garbage.
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A 2009 CSIRO report The Effect of Climate Change on Extreme Sea Levels in Port Phillip Bay for the Victorian government's Future Coasts Program is an example of its modelling. The model is based on temperature projections to 2100 of up to 6.4 o C. That comes from the most extreme scenario of the IPCC with unbelievable CO2 concentration of 1550 parts per million. Using up all known fossil fuel reserves would achieve only half this amount. The result was a projected sea-level rise for Port Phillip Bay by 2100 of 82cm. With the help of the Bureau of Meteorology, a further increase due to wind raised it to 98cm.
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Ill show below some actual results from Mann et al 2005 to confirm the validity of this reply.
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Gee, its hot in Reno and Las Vegas and the L.A. Basin is warmer than inland. Wonder why thats where NOAA / NCDC choose to measure the temperatures for GHCN?
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Also associated with this event are high levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, which are linked to elevated ocean and atmospheric temperatures. Associated consequences include likely enhanced global rainfall and weathering of the continents, which further shifted the chemistry of the ocean.
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But this years event had a sense of desperation. Speakers spoke about being victimised by warmists and alarmists scientists and politicians who accept that carbon dioxide emissions from industry are a main driver of climate change.
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But, let's face it, some of those believing in the serious nature of global warming have also been confusing the public. How many times have you seen global warming advocates crow about a single record warm year, heat wave, or a season with less ice in the arctic as clear proof of global warming? Quite often. But such transient or brief events could well be mainly the result of natural variability.
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Then at the 8:56 mark Joe brings up the recent (some would call absurd) claim made that Antarctic sea ice is expanding to record high levels because of global warming. (With that kind of logic one could hypothesize that the snowball earth episodes occurred when the earth was a hot house). Bastardi:
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So the prediction that 2008 will be in the 10 ten warmest years has an overwhelming probability of being true regardless whether man-made global warming is significant or not, and regardless whether an increasing or cyclic climate holds. That is, no matter what, this prediction is probably true, and it is useless as its intent was to give indirect evidence that the increasing climate scenario holds and that the man-made component of global warming is significant. It does neither such thing. Presenting this prediction as news is a clever debating tactic, but it is misleading, because the alternatives are not presented, even though the forecast is just as much evidence for them.
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Even though the state gave "snow-buried cities and towns in Massachusetts permission to dump snow into the ocean, due to emergency situations," Boston decided it had better not. Also in the man-made glacier were piles of uncollected garbage, trashcans, even fire hydrants. Experts think the snow pile will still be around, at least until August.
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In 1998, the Energy Information Administration released a report that estimated that complying with the Kyoto Protocol would cost the United States $64 billion per year. The study assumed that the U.S. would begin to comply with the protocol in 2005 and reach its target of reducing greenhouse gas emissions by 7 percent below 1990 levels by 2008 to 2012.
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How can anyone, Left or Right, not be chilled to the bone to hear a government official talk in such a manner about federal treatment of private companies and individuals? Incredibly, this man was in charge of enforcing environmental regulations in five states before the uproar over his repulsive comments forced him to resign.
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100% Of The US Warming Trend Since 1930 Is Due To Data Tampering
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A Greenpeace spokesperson suggests that the only people concerned about the video in which kids are executed for insufficient eco enthusiasm are those with ulterior motives climate skeptics and think tanks funded by corporations. Read the full post here . This blog has relocated . You can sign up to receive an e-mail each time a new post is added under the "Email subscription" bar a little below the photo. NoFrakkingConsensus now has a Facebook page.
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Rather than keeping its distance from those whose careers have been associated with activism, the scientific establishment now honors, celebrates and promotes such people.
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And the Energy Policy Act of 2005 offers incentives and subsidies. These include "standby' protection against the "potentially crippling impact of construction and operational delays beyond the control of the plants' sponsors" for 100 percent of delay costs for the first two new plants built and 50 percent of the cost for plants three through six. The Department of Energy is also offering an 80 percent loan guarantee for emissions-reducing projects, including nuclear projects that employ "new or significantly improved technologies compared to commercial technologies in service in the U.S. today." There is also a new eight-year tax incentive for new nuclear kilowatt production.
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one about the value of a stable climate ? much better politics. the most
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Since then, countries like Canada and Russia have left the protocol, and others, like Japan, have declined to tighten the screws further on carbon emissions in a time of faltering economic growth.
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The Green Movement long ago convinced the First World of a huge global warming threat, which has failed to occur. Similarly, they have convinced Africa's educated elite that biotech seeds are a bigger threat to Africa's people and wild species than famine.
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/s/ Jack Barneburg, Jack JSC, Space Shuttle Structures, Engineering Directorate, 34 years
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"With the election barely two weeks away, the nation is focused on what will happen if (when?) control of Congress swings rightward. While some far-reaching elements of Barack Obama's agenda will face great perhaps impassible hurdles on Capitol Hill, that won't stop the administration from implementing them via regulation, the ultimate end-run around Congress."
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We're in a severe recession, and each of his major proposals is going to
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I then collected relevant information about the various models into an Info table (which is applied in the plot):
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Matt Melchiorre, Warren Brookes Fellow: Balanced approach? Your budget shows tax revenue increasing even faster than spending, following in Europe's failed path: http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/338630/not-all-austerity-equal-matthew-melchiorre You don't favor any austerity for the government, only the private sector. That is not balance.
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Agees calculations suggest that it would be possible to remove 1 billion tonnes of CO2 per year this way, using the energy provided by 16 wind farms, each generating 1200 megawatts of electricity. Theres a lot of wind energy in the Antarctic, Agee says.
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saying Japanese scientists had linked this to global warming. I am leaning
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He has graciously agreed to write a guest weblog for Climate Science, as well as also post on his own website ( madweather ). Dr. Maddoxs weblog is important since it provides another example of the lack of consideration by NOAA on the need for proper siting of instrumentation that is required to monitor weather and climate.
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Email 1897 : ???Do I understand it correctly ??? if he doesn??t pay the 10 we don??t have to respond? With the earlier FOI requests re David Holland, I wasted a part of a day deleting numerous emails and exchanges with almost all the skeptics. So I have virtually nothing. I even deleted the email that I inadvertently sent.??
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It has been said many times that computer models can explain the global temperature for the last 30 years the period of the recent global warming spell. Even if that was true some years ago it is no longer. The fact that the pause is unexplained means that the last 30 years are not reproducible in a way that is satisfactory.
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I would imaging that site like this one would be a target, since we dont report what the government line on climate change is.
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The most terrifying aspect of McKibben's piece is his biased selection of flawed supporting documentation and his disregard for the truth about fracking.
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"most believe they should be allowed to build whatever home they like"
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A will-reported Finland reactor complex being built by Areva had a budget of $3,300 million that is now 50% over budget at $4,950 million. However, even at $4,950 million this reactor facility has less than half the capitol cost of wind, on a per MW basis.
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Conclusion: Historical climate change, as represented by the Roman and Medieval unprecedented warming documented in central Asia, was a global phenomenon that modern climate change has yet to rival.
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What hes arguing here is that we each have an innate moral code, a code which displays a remarkable uniformity across distances of time and space. I know of no argument to effectively counter C.S. Lewis assertionsin Mere Christianity :
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Recall that Jeff Marque , an APS editor, wrote in their recent newsletter addressed to a small subgroup of the APS called "Forum on Physics & Society" an obvious truism, namely that a considerable fraction of the scientific community are climate skeptics. They opened a rare arena for scientific arguments about this issue.
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Many greenhouses working with a frhjd CO 2 concentration and the frefaller as an increase to 600-700 ppmv is favorable for most plants. Furthermore frefaller like the need for water, rather reducing n vats. In several areas the biomass cat markedly in recent decades, not least in Sweden No net accumulation in the Swedish forests amounts to about 40 Mt C / r per year which means that Sweden has hardly something nettoutslpp of carbon dioxide. Net accumulation on a global scale in the terrestrial biosfren estimated from nrvarande to 1.6 Gtonnes C / r
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"The decline of oil and gas will affect the world population more than climate change," one researcher said. Another expert said, "Oil is a fabulous nonrenewable substance that underpinned the 20th-century miracle, but miracles rarely happen forever."
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Britain's stance, for example, on emissions reductions has met with skepticism given the Labour's past distrust of environmentalists. The Green's relentless attacks against industrial growth has succeeded at the expense of Labour's base. Nature argues, however, that skepticism is unjustified. By linking climate change policies with energy conservation and increased public transportation, Labour can successfully commit Britain to aggressive targets.
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In addition, it will in effect make it impossible to replace the coal-fired power stations that will be forced to close in the next few years under an EU directive, while proposing a hidden subsidy to any new nuclear power stations.
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And yet despite all this evidence, comments Lynas, Lomborg somehow contrives to argue that it is cheaper to go on burning fossil fuels than to switch to clean energy to prevent runaway global warming. This feeds right into the agenda of profiteering multinationals like
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The Government wants its legislation passed in the Senate by June because it says it needs to give business certainty. But Senator Xenophon says that is too soon, but he has not backed delaying the vote until December either.
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Solomon says such problems also afflict other outstanding U.S. scientists such as Richard Lindzen of MIT and malaria expert Dr. Paul Reiter of the Pasteur Institute in Paris.
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