user639: Assume a Stakepool with a delegated amount of x Ada. How can one calculate the probability of minting a block and what factors does it depend on?

user607: you can see full doc here https://hydra.iohk.io/build/790053/download/1/delegation_design_spec.pdf
and small one here https://docs.cardano.org/en/latest/explore-cardano/understanding-pledging-and-rewards.html
also you can use this one for calculate it. https://dynamicstrategies.io/crewardcalculator

user681: Visit a site like pooltool.io to see current delegated total for the network (top left corner), currently 30.24b ADA but changes day to day. Each epoch we have 0.05 (active slot coefficient network parameter) of the available slots on average assigned a leader slot (chance to produce a block), which is 5 * 24 * 60 * 60 * 0.05 = 21600 blocks per epoch on average.
Doing the simple maths for, say, 1 million ADA delegated to a pool yields 1,000,000 / 30,240,000,000 * 21600 = ~ 0.7 blocks per epoch. Alternatively you can do 1/21600 * 30,240,000,000 to get a result of 1,400,00 ADA for one block on average.

639: <p>Assume a Stakepool with a delegated amount of <strong>x</strong> Ada. How can one calculate the probability of minting a block and what factors does it depend on?</p>
 607: <p>you can see full doc here <a href="https://hydra.iohk.io/build/790053/download/1/delegation_design_spec.pdf" rel="nofollow noreferrer">https://hydra.iohk.io/build/790053/download/1/delegation_design_spec.pdf</a></p>
<p>and small one here <a href="https://docs.cardano.org/en/latest/explore-cardano/understanding-pledging-and-rewards.html" rel="nofollow noreferrer">https://docs.cardano.org/en/latest/explore-cardano/understanding-pledging-and-rewards.html</a></p>
<p>also you can use this one for calculate it. <a href="https://dynamicstrategies.io/crewardcalculator" rel="nofollow noreferrer">https://dynamicstrategies.io/crewardcalculator</a></p>
 681: <p>Visit a site like pooltool.io to see current delegated total for the network (top left corner), currently 30.24b ADA but changes day to day. Each epoch we have 0.05 (active slot coefficient network parameter) of the available slots on average assigned a leader slot (chance to produce a block), which is 5 * 24 * 60 * 60 * 0.05 = 21600 blocks per epoch on average.</p>
<p>Doing the simple maths for, say, 1 million ADA delegated to a pool yields 1,000,000 / 30,240,000,000 * 21600 = ~ 0.7 blocks per epoch. Alternatively you can do 1/21600 * 30,240,000,000 to get a result of 1,400,00 ADA for one block on average.</p>
