Alright, the probability that he makes a given shot is not dependent on whether he made or missed the previous shots. Find the probability that Jeremiah's first successful shot occurs on his third attempt. So like always, pause this video and see if you can have a go at it. Alright, now let's work through this together. So we wanna find the probability that, so m is the number of shots it takes until Jeremiah makes his first successful one. And so what they're really asking is find the probability that m is equal to three, that his first successful shot occurs on his third attempt. So m is equal to three.