30% chance of winning $1. You would expect, on average, if you play this many, many, many times, that playing the game is going to give you $0.30. Now, would you want to give someone $0.35 to get, on average, $0.30? No, you would not want to play this game. Now, one thing I will let you think about is, would you want to play this game if you could replace the green marble, the first pick after the first pick? If you could replace the green marble, would you want to pick? Would you want to play the game in that scenario?