Question ID:PT28 S1 Q3 Passage:For any given ticket in a 1000-ticket lottery, it is reasonable to believe that that ticket will lose. Hence, it is reasonable to believe that no ticket will win. Stem:Which one of the following exhibits flawed reasoning most similar to the flawed reasoning in the argument above? Correct Answer Choice:AChoice A:It is reasonable to believe for any randomly drawn playing card that it will not be an ace, so it is reasonable to believe that an ace will never be drawn. Choice B:When the chances of a certain horse winning the race are 999 out of 1000, it is reasonable to believe that that horse will win.  So it is reasonable to believe that no one other than that horse can win. Choice C:It is unreasonable to believe that 1000 consecutive  coin flips will turn up heads, so it is reasonable to believe that this never happens. Choice D:It is reasonable to believe that if the most recent flip of a given coin was tails, the next flip will be heads.  So if a coin has turned up tails the last 1000 times it was flipped, it is reasonable to believe that it will turn up heads the next time it is flipped. Choice E:For any given group of five-year-old children, the average height is one meter, so it is reasonable to believe that if Pat is five years old, she is exactly one meter tall.