us covid-19 deaths previously predicted by ihme model
us covid-19 deaths previously predicted by ihme model
seventy percent of us states had an actual death rate outside the 95 percent prediction interval for that state, casting doubt on whether the model is suitable to inform covid-19 resource allocation.", "credit: pixabay an international group of renowned statisticians from the university of sydney, northwestern university and the university of texas have collaborated to fully investigate the predictive performance of the covid-19 model developed by institute for health metrics and evaluation (ihme)  which provides forecasts for ventilator use and hospital beds in the united states.", 


































"i am concerned that if the uw-ihme model has had difficulty in predicting the next day, how will the predictions fair over the long term, said professor tanner.", "published on pre-publication server arxiv, the researchers found that the ihme model substantially underestimates the uncertainty associated with covid-19 deaths.")