ENERGY AND TRANSPORT
1.1.3. Energy demand
in
general
consumption
15% BATAL
stagnation in development of rail infrastructure.
a diam
Assumptions:
Households:
- according to the existing data, in Croatia in 2012 was 142.2 million m
of residential buildings and houses (Long-term strategy for the
promotion of the investments of buildings, OG 74/14). It is assumed that
the living area will grow slowly with the recovery of economic activity,
despite the fall of number of people, by 8,5% until 2030 and by 10,6%
until 2050. Most of the new surfaces will refer to a block of flats in urban
areas,
- no improved efficiency and renovation of building are assumed for this
scenario,
- consumption of electricity to power household appliances and devices
for cooling (air conditioning) will grow,
- specific energy consumption for cooking in households will stagnate.
Services:
no change in the structure, used forms of energy - increase of electricity
consumption, decrease in the usage of petroleum products and their
replacement with natural gas,
1.2. 'with existing measures' scenario
-
on the islands and parts of Croatia not covered with a natural gas grid,
the share of liquefied petroleum gas will be increased
- In the services and households sub-sector, projections in the 'without
measures' scenario show an increase in the final energy consumption
because of the GVA growth of the service sector as well as increase in
income of households.
Agriculture, forestry and fisheries:
- there will be no changes in energy intensity.
In the period until 2020, energy efficiency improvements are in line with the
existing measures listed in the National Action Plan for Energy Efficiency for
the Period 2017-2019 (listed in the Report on Policy and Measures), while for
the post-2020 period, there are no yet implemented measures, so only assessed
market improvements are integrated:
- market driven improvements of energy efficiency and fuel switches in
industrial sector;
- renovation of 0,5% surface are of the buildings annually to the standard
as listed in the Technical regulation on rational use of energy in
buildings (OG 97/14);
all new buildings built according