Energy and transport
2. Energy
transformations
and resources
Electrification of almost 85% of total passenger activity by 2050 is expected
in urban passenger transport
Improvements in energy efficiency in industry together with the replacement
of fuels towards greater use of renewable energy and electricity.
The power system was analyzed by simulating market development using hourly
optimization software. The price of emission units in the EU ETS is assumed as in
the EU 2016 reference scenario.
Simulation of refinery operations was done to meet domestic demand as much as
possible with existing capacity, which means without building new refineries and
reducing production in 'with existing measures' and 'with additional measures'
scenarios.
2.1. With existing measures' scenario
Assumptions:
by 2020 installed capacity of renewable energy power plants in accordance
with the National Renewable Energy Action Plan by 2020 (2013) and the
Tariff System for Renewable Energy Sources and Efficient Cogeneration
(OG 133/2013, 151/2013, 20/2014, 107/2014 and 100/2015),
in the period after 2020, it has been simulated with software for long-term
operation and construction of the electricity system on the principle of least
cost or ideal market conditions. The model also includes a part of the district
heating system in the large cities that is supplied from cogeneration,
the price of emission units is assumed as in EU Reference Scenario 2016,
the analysis has shown that renewables will be competitive and without the
need for financial support for solar and wind farms,
the analysis shows that the new coal-fired power plants are not competitive
as a result of the increase in the price of emission allowances and the
reduction of the cost of investing in renewable energy sources,
the level of net electricity imports was assumed to be gradually decreasing
2.2. With additional measures' scenario
The assumptions include the continued development of a renewable energy incentive
policy beyond 2020:
in the period after 2020, it has been simulated with software for long-term
operation and construction of the electricity system on the principle of least
cost or ideal market conditions. The model also includes a part of the district
heating system in the large cities that is supplied