ENERGY AND TRAI
Continued support to energy efficiency after 2020, with the following key
assumptions:
2.1. 'Without measures' scenario
renovation of 2% of the buildings annually to the nearly-zero energy
standard (include the use of renewable sources);
2. Energy
The power system was analysed by the simulation of market development with
transformations and the software for the hourly optimization of operation and development of the
resources
power system. The price of the emission allowances in the EU ETS was
assumed as in the EU Reference scenario 2016.
The simulation of the operation of the refineries was done to satisfy the domestic
demand as possible with the existing capacities, which mean without building
new refineries in 'without measures' scenario, and reducing production in 'with
existing measures' and 'with additional measures' scenarios.
support for the development of the share of electric vehicles to 25% of
the personal vehicles in 2050;
intermodal shift with the goal to shift 7% of the transport of passengers
and goods to rails until 2030 and 20% until 2050;
improvements of energy efficiency in industry together with fuel
switch towards the use of renewable energy and electricity.
Assumptions:
- all electricity needs will be met from domestic sources (except nuclear
power plant Krko) after 2030, which significantly increases the
-
-
generation in Croatian power plants since import amounted to 25 - 35%.
no new capacity of renewable resources,
all new electricity demands and replacement of old capacity are settled
by production from fossil power plants; about 50% gas-fired power plants
and about 50% coal-fired power plants,
- Nuclear power plant Krko continues delivering 50% of energy to Croatia
and operates up to 2043.
- fuel production in refineries driven by the domestic demand;
improvements of environmental performance and lifetime of power
plants in line with the Directive 2010/75/EU on industrial emissions.
2.2. 'with existing measures' scenario
Assumptions:
Until 2020, installed capacities of renewable energy sources power
plants are as defined by the National Action Plan for Renewable
Energy Sources by 2020 and Tar